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BathMaineWeather.com - Tropical Weather - Hurricanes and Tropical Storms

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Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

 


Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook


000
ABNT20 KNHC 191737
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Jose, located a few hundred miles south of Nantucket, Massachusetts,
North Carolina, and on Hurricane Maria, located over the
northeastern Caribbean Sea more than 100 miles southeast of St.
Croix.

A small low pressure area, the remnants of Lee, is producing
disorganized shower activity about midway between the Cabo Verde
Islands and the Leeward Islands.  Environmental conditions could
become marginally conducive for redevelopment of a tropical cyclone
by the weekend while the system moves northwestward to northward
over the central Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

Hurricane for

  • Summary for Hurricane Jose (AT2/AL122017)
    ...HURRICANE JOSE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FOR SEVERAL MORE DAYS... As of 5:00 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 the center of Jose was located near 37.2, -71.3 with movement NNE at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 976 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.

Hurricane Jose

  • Hurricane Jose Public Advisory Number 58
    Issued at 500 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017 000 WTNT32 KNHC 192048 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Jose Advisory Number 58 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017 500 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017 ...HURRICANE JOSE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FOR SEVERAL MORE DAYS... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...37.2N 71.3W ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM ENE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM SSW OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued from Hull southward to Sagamore Beach and also west of Woods Hole. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Woods Hole to Sagamore Beach, including Cape Cod * Block Island * Martha's Vineyard * Nantucket A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * The coast of Long Island from Fire Island Inlet to Port Jefferson A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 24 to 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 hours. Interests elsewhere along the U.S. east coast from Virginia northward to New England should monitor the progress of Jose. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Jose was located near latitude 37.2 North, longitude 71.3 West. Jose is moving toward the north-northeast near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue into this evening. A turn to the northeast is forecast to occur by Wednesday morning. On the forecast track, the center of Jose is expected to pass well offshore of the Delmarva peninsula later tonight, pass well to the east of the New Jersey coast on Wednesday, and pass offshore of southeastern Massachusetts by Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected tonight, but Jose should begin to gradually weaken on Wednesday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km). A ship located about 170 miles west of the center of Jose recently reported a sustained wind of 46 mph (74 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb (28.82 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in the warning area early Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area beginning tonight. SURF: Swells generated by Jose are affecting Bermuda, the Bahamas, and much of the U.S. east coast. These swells are likely to cause dangerous surf and rip current conditions for the next several days in these areas. For more information, please consult products from your local weather office. RAINFALL: Jose is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 1 to 3 inches over eastern Long Island, southeast Connecticut, southern Rhode Island, and southeast Massachusetts. Rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches are expected for Martha's Vineyard, Nantucket and Cape Cod through Wednesday. This rainfall could cause isolated flooding. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT. Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT. $$ Forecaster Stewart ]]>
  • Hurricane Jose Forecast Advisory Number 58
    Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017
    
    000
    WTNT22 KNHC 192047
    TCMAT2
    
    HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  58
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
    2100 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017
    
    CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
    
    THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FROM HULL
    SOUTHWARD TO SAGAMORE BEACH AND ALSO WEST OF WOODS HOLE.
    
    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
    
    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * WOODS HOLE TO SAGAMORE BEACH...INCLUDING CAPE COD
    * BLOCK ISLAND
    * MARTHA'S VINEYARD
    * NANTUCKET
    
    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * THE COAST OF LONG ISLAND FROM FIRE ISLAND INLET TO PORT JEFFERSON
    
    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
    THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
    
    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
    HOURS.
    
    INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST FROM VIRGINIA
    NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JOSE.
    
    HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N  71.3W AT 19/2100Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
    
    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT   7 KT
    
    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
    64 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
    50 KT.......120NE  70SE  90SW 130NW.
    34 KT.......270NE 180SE 190SW 180NW.
    12 FT SEAS..330NE 330SE 270SW 270NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
    
    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.2N  71.3W AT 19/2100Z
    AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.9N  71.5W
    
    FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 38.2N  70.6W
    MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
    64 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
    50 KT...120NE  70SE  90SW 130NW.
    34 KT...230NE 180SE 180SW 180NW.
    
    FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 39.2N  69.2W
    MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
    50 KT...110NE  70SE  90SW 110NW.
    34 KT...200NE 180SE 180SW 170NW.
    
    FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 39.7N  68.0W
    MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
    50 KT... 90NE  70SE  80SW  80NW.
    34 KT...150NE 180SE 180SW 150NW.
    
    FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 39.5N  67.5W
    MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
    50 KT... 40NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
    34 KT...150NE 170SE 160SW 150NW.
    
    FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 39.0N  67.6W...POST-TROPICAL
    MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
    34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 150NW.
    
    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
    
    OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 38.6N  68.1W...POST-TROPICAL
    MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
    
    OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 38.3N  69.0W...POST-TROPICAL
    MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
    
    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.2N  71.3W
    
    NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
    
    $$
    FORECASTER STEWART
    
    
    
  • Hurricane Jose Forecast Discussion Number 58
    Issued at 500 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017
    
    000
    WTNT42 KNHC 192048
    TCDAT2
    
    Hurricane Jose Discussion Number  58
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122017
    500 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017
    
    Satellite imagery indicate that Jose's cloud pattern has improved
    since the previous advisory. Curved band features have become more
    evident in all quadrants and the upper-level outflow has also
    expanded and become more anticyclonic. Jose actually looks more like
    a tropical cyclone now. Satellite intensity estimates have increased
    and were a consensus T3.5/55 kt at 1800Z. Since that time, the
    convective pattern has continued to improve, including a burst of
    convection with cloud tops colder than -60C having developed near
    and over the well-defined low-level center. Given the much improved
    satellite cloud pattern, the intensity will remain 65 kt. An Air
    Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate
    Jose by 2300Z.
    
    Jose has made the much anticipated turn toward the north-northeast
    and is now moving 025/07 kt. There is no significant change to
    the previous track forecast or reasoning. The latest NHC model
    guidance remains in good agreement on Jose slowing down and turning
    toward the northeast by Wednesday morning, followed by a turn toward
    the east on Thursday as the cyclone moves around the north side of
    deep-layer ridge. During the 72-120 hour period, a high-latitude
    ridge is forecast to build to the north of Jose, forcing the
    cyclone slowly southward and southwestward over the far North
    Atlantic. The new official forecast track lies a little to the east
    of the consensus models, closer to the ECMWF solution.
    
    The center and much of the inner core of Jose will be moving over
    21-22C SSTs by 36-48 h. However, a large portion of the hurricane's
    circulation will still be located over much warmer water, which will
    maintain a long, southerly fetch of unstable air into and to the
    north of the center. Since the vertical wind shear is expected to be
    20 kt or less, only gradual weakening is expected as per the
    previous intensity forecasts, and the intensity models IVCN and
    HCCA.
    
    The 34-kt wind radii were increased slightly in the northwestern
    quadrant based on 14-15Z ASCAT scatterometer wind data, offshore
    buoy reports, and a 40-45 kt wind report from ship VRGH3.
    
    KEY MESSAGES:
    
    1. While the center of Jose is forecast to remain offshore of the
    U.S. east coast, the large cyclone is expected to cause some direct
    impacts in portions of New England, and a tropical storm warning
    is in effect for Cape Cod, Block Island, Martha's Vineyard, and
    Nantucket. Any deviation to the left of the NHC forecast track would
    increase the likelihood and magnitude of impacts along the coast
    from Long Island to southern New England.
    
    2. Minor to moderate coastal flooding is possible from Delaware to
    southern New England during the next several days.  Please see
    products issued by local National Weather Service forecast offices.
    
    3. Swells generated by Jose are affecting Bermuda, the Bahamas, and
    much of the U.S. east coast.  These swells are likely to cause
    dangerous surf and rip current conditions for the next several days
    in these areas.
    
    4. Jose will produce heavy rain over a small part of southern New
    England and eastern Long Island as it passes offshore of these
    locations on Tuesday and Wednesday. Total accumulations of 1 to 3
    inches are expected over eastern Long Island, southeast Connecticut,
    southern Rhode Island, and southeast Massachusetts. 3 to 5 inches
    are expected for Martha's Vineyard, Nantucket, and Cape Cod. This
    rainfall could cause isolated flooding.
    
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
    
    INIT  19/2100Z 37.2N  71.3W   65 KT  75 MPH
     12H  20/0600Z 38.2N  70.6W   65 KT  75 MPH
     24H  20/1800Z 39.2N  69.2W   60 KT  70 MPH
     36H  21/0600Z 39.7N  68.0W   55 KT  65 MPH
     48H  21/1800Z 39.5N  67.5W   50 KT  60 MPH
     72H  22/1800Z 39.0N  67.6W   45 KT  50 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
     96H  23/1800Z 38.6N  68.1W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
    120H  24/1800Z 38.3N  69.0W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
    
    $$
    Forecaster Stewart
    
    
  • Hurricane Jose Wind Speed Probabilities Number 58
    Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017
    
    000
    FONT12 KNHC 192048
    PWSAT2
                                                                        
    HURRICANE JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  58                  
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017               
    2100 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017                                            
                                                                        
    AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.2
    NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS
    ...75 MPH...120 KM/H.                                               
                                                                        
    Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
       ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                        
    WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                        
    CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
       ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
       ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
       ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
    FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
        OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
            AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
       (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
            18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
    X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
    THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
    64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                        
                                                                        
      - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                        
                   FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
      TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
    PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
                 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                        
    FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
    LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                        
    YARMOUTH NS    34  X   2( 2)   6( 8)   2(10)   3(13)   1(14)   1(15)
     
    EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
     
    BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
     
    AUGUSTA ME     34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
     
    PORTLAND ME    34  X   5( 5)   4( 9)   2(11)   2(13)   1(14)   1(15)
     
    CONCORD NH     34  1   7( 8)   3(11)   2(13)   2(15)   1(16)   1(17)
     
    PORTSMOUTH NH  34  3   7(10)   4(14)   2(16)   3(19)   2(21)   1(22)
     
    WORCESTER MA   34  8   6(14)   5(19)   2(21)   3(24)   2(26)   1(27)
     
    SPRINGFIELD MA 34  7   5(12)   4(16)   2(18)   2(20)   2(22)   1(23)
     
    BOSTON MA      34  9   9(18)   5(23)   2(25)   3(28)   2(30)   1(31)
     
    HYANNIS MA     34 24  15(39)   8(47)   3(50)   4(54)   2(56)   1(57)
    HYANNIS MA     50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
     
    NANTUCKET MA   34 37  18(55)   6(61)   4(65)   3(68)   1(69)   1(70)
    NANTUCKET MA   50  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
     
    PROVIDENCE RI  34 18  11(29)   5(34)   2(36)   4(40)   2(42)   1(43)
     
    BRIDGEPORT CT  34 11   6(17)   4(21)   1(22)   2(24)   3(27)   X(27)
     
    NEW HAVEN CT   34 12   6(18)   4(22)   1(23)   3(26)   2(28)   1(29)
     
    HARTFORD CT    34 10   6(16)   4(20)   1(21)   2(23)   2(25)   2(27)
     
    NEW LONDON CT  34 18   9(27)   4(31)   2(33)   4(37)   2(39)   1(40)
     
    ALBANY NY      34  1   3( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   1(10)
     
    POUGHKEEPSIE   34  5   4( 9)   3(12)   1(13)   1(14)   2(16)   1(17)
     
    MONTAUK POINT  34 28  10(38)   5(43)   2(45)   4(49)   2(51)   X(51)
    MONTAUK POINT  50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
     
    ISLIP NY       34 16   6(22)   4(26)   1(27)   3(30)   2(32)   2(34)
     
    NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 11   5(16)   3(19)   1(20)   2(22)   2(24)   1(25)
     
    NYC CNTRL PARK 34  9   5(14)   3(17)   1(18)   2(20)   2(22)   1(23)
     
    NEWARK NJ      34  8   5(13)   2(15)   1(16)   2(18)   2(20)   1(21)
     
    TRENTON NJ     34  7   4(11)   2(13)   X(13)   1(14)   2(16)   1(17)
     
    NWS EARLE NJ   34 11   5(16)   2(18)   1(19)   2(21)   2(23)   1(24)
     
    ALLENTOWN PA   34  5   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   2(11)   1(12)
     
    PHILADELPHIA   34  7   3(10)   2(12)   X(12)   1(13)   2(15)   1(16)
     
    ATLANTIC CITY  34 12   4(16)   2(18)   1(19)   1(20)   3(23)   1(24)
     
    BALTIMORE MD   34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)
     
    DOVER DE       34  7   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)   1(12)   1(13)   2(15)
     
    ANNAPOLIS MD   34  4   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)
     
    WASHINGTON DC  34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)
     
    CAPE HENLOPEN  34 10   4(14)   1(15)   X(15)   1(16)   1(17)   3(20)
     
    OCEAN CITY MD  34 11   3(14)   1(15)   X(15)   1(16)   2(18)   2(20)
     
    PAX RIVER NAS  34  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   2( 9)
     
    WALLOPS CDA    34  8   3(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   2(14)   3(17)
     
    RICHMOND VA    34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)
     
    NORFOLK NAS    34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   2( 8)
     
    NORFOLK VA     34  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   2( 8)
     
    OCEANA NAS VA  34  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   2( 9)
     
    ELIZABETH CTY  34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   2( 7)
     
    CAPE HATTERAS  34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)
     
    NEW RIVER NC   34  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
     
    $$                                                                  
    FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
    
  • Hurricane Jose Graphics

    Hurricane Jose 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image

    5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 19 Sep 2017 20:54:20 GMT


    Hurricane Jose 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities

    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 19 Sep 2017 21:23:28 GMT

Local Statement for New York City, NY
Issued at  541 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

Local Statement for Boston, MA
Issued at  600 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2017

Hurricane for

  • Summary for Hurricane Maria (AT5/AL152017)
    ...600 PM AST POSITION UPDATE... ...WEATHER CONDITIONS RAPIDLY DETERIORATING IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS... As of 6:00 PM AST Tue Sep 19 the center of Maria was located near 16.8, -64.0 with movement WNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 913 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 165 mph.

Hurricane Maria

  • Hurricane Maria Public Advisory Number 15
    Issued at 500 PM AST Tue Sep 19 2017 000 WTNT35 KNHC 192043 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Hurricane Maria Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017 500 PM AST Tue Sep 19 2017 ...POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE MARIA EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR THE U. S. VIRGIN ISLANDS TONIGHT AND OVER PUERTO RICO ON WEDNESDAY... ...PREPARATIONS AGAINST LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE AND RAINFALL FLOODING AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.8N 64.0W ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SE OF ST. CROIX ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM SE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...165 MPH...270 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...916 MB...27.05 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Meteorological Service of the Bahamas has issued a Hurricane Watch for the Turks and Caicos Islands and the Southeastern Bahamas. The Meteorological Service of Antigua has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for Antigua and Barbuda. The Meteorological Service of Barbados has discontinued the Hurricane Warning for Dominica. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * St. Kitts, Nevis, and Montserrat * U.S. Virgin Islands * British Virgin Islands * Puerto Rico, Culebra, and Vieques * Cabo Engano to Puerto Plata A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Saba and St. Eustatius * St. Maarten * Anguilla * Guadeloupe * West of Puerto Plata to the northern border of the Dominican Republic and Haiti * West of Cabo Engano to Punta Palenque A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Saba and St. Eustatius * St. Maarten * St. Martin and St. Barthelemy * Anguilla * Isla Saona to Cabo Engano * Turks and Caicos Islands and the Southeastern Bahamas A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Interests elsewhere in Hispaniola and the Bahamas should monitor the progress of Maria. Additional watches and warnings may be required tonight or Wednesday. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Maria was located near latitude 16.8 North, longitude 64.0 West. Maria is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through Wednesday night. On the forecast track, the eye of Maria will move near or over the U. S. Virgin Islands tonight, cross Puerto Rico on Wednesday, and then pass just north of the coast of the Dominican Republic Wednesday night and Thursday. Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 165 mph (270 km/h) with higher gusts. Maria is a potentially catastrophic category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely during the next day or so, but Maria is forecast to remain an extremely dangerous category 4 or 5 hurricane as it moves near or over the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. Slow weakening is expected after the hurricane emerges over the Atlantic north of Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km). The latest minimum central pressure reported by the Hurricane Hunter aircraft is 916 mb (27.05 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions will continue in portions of the hurricane warning area in the Leeward Islands this evening, and spread into the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico tonight and Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are occuring over the remainder of the Leeward Islands, and are spreading over the Virgin Islands at this time. Tropical storm conditions should spread over Puerto Rico during the next several hours. Hurricane conditions are expected within the hurricane warning area in the Dominican Republic late Wednesday, with tropical storm conditions expected by early Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning areas in the Dominican Republic on Wednesday. Hurricane conditions are possible on Thursday in the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeastern Bahamas. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains and on high-rise buildings could be much stronger than the near- surface winds indicated in this advisory. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge accompanied by large and destructive waves will raise water levels by as much as 7 to 11 feet above normal tide levels in the hurricane warning area near where the center of Maria moves across the Leeward Islands and the British Virgin Islands. A dangerous storm surge accompanied by large and destructive waves will raise water levels by as much as 4 to 6 feet above normal tide levels in the hurricane warning area in the Dominican Republic, and 1 to 3 ft elsewhere along the northern coasts of the Dominican Republic and Haiti. The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is expected to reach the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands...6 to 9 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to the north and east of the landfall location, where the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. RAINFALL: Maria is expected to produce the following rain accumulations through Thursday: Central and southern Leeward Islands...10 to 15 inches, isolated 20 inches. U.S. and British Virgin Islands...10 to 15 inches, isolated 20 inches. Puerto Rico...12 to 18 inches, isolated 25 inches. Northern Leeward Islands from Barbuda to Anguilla...4 to 8 inches, isolated 10 inches. Windward Islands and Barbados...2 to 4 inches, isolated 6 inches. Eastern Dominican Republic...4 to 8 inches, isolated 12 inches. Rainfall on all of these islands will cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. TORNADOES: Several tornadoes are possible over Puerto Rico and the U. S. Virgin Islands tonight and Wednesday. SURF: Swells generated by Maria are affecting the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, and the Virgin Islands. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. Tropical Cyclone Updates will be issued hourly in between these advisories. $$ Forecaster Beven ]]>
  • Hurricane Maria Forecast Advisory Number 15
    Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017
    
    000
    WTNT25 KNHC 192042
    TCMAT5
    
    HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152017
    2100 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017
    
    CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
    
    THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
    WATCH FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.
    
    THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF ANTIGUA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL
    STORM WARNING FOR ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA.
    
    THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF BARBADOS HAS DISCONTINUED THE
    HURRICANE WARNING FOR DOMINICA.
    
    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
    
    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND MONTSERRAT
    * U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
    * BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
    * PUERTO RICO...CULEBRA...AND VIEQUES
    * CABO ENGANO TO PUERTO PLATA
    
    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
    * ST. MAARTEN
    * ANGUILLA
    * GUADELOUPE
    * WEST OF PUERTO PLATA TO THE NORTHERN BORDER OF THE DOMINICAN
    REPUBLIC AND HAITI
    * WEST OF CABO ENGANO TO PUNTA PALENQUE
    
    A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
    * SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS
    * ST. MAARTEN
    * ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY
    * ANGUILLA
    * ISLA SAONA TO CABO ENGANO
    * TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
    
    A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
    SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
    PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
    
    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
    EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
    
    A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
    WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS BEFORE
    THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...
    CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS.
    
    INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN HISPANIOLA AND THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE
    PROGRESS OF MARIA.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED
    TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY.
    
    HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  64.0W AT 19/2100Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
    
    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT
    
    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  916 MB
    EYE DIAMETER   5 NM
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 145 KT WITH GUSTS TO 175 KT.
    64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
    50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
    34 KT.......120NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.
    12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
    
    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  64.0W AT 19/2100Z
    AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N  63.6W
    
    FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 17.5N  65.2W
    MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
    50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
    34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
    
    FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 18.4N  66.7W...OVER PUERTO RICO
    MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
    50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
    34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
    
    FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 19.3N  68.1W...OVER WATER
    MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
    50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
    34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.
    
    FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 20.2N  69.4W
    MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
    50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
    34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.
    
    FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 22.5N  71.0W
    MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
    50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
    34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.
    
    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
    
    OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 25.5N  72.0W
    MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
    
    OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 28.5N  72.5W
    MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
    
    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N  64.0W
    
    NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
    
    $$
    FORECASTER BEVEN
    
    
    
  • Hurricane Maria Forecast Discussion Number 15
    Issued at 500 PM AST Tue Sep 19 2017
    
    000
    WTNT45 KNHC 192046
    TCDAT5
    
    Hurricane Maria Discussion Number  15
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL152017
    500 PM AST Tue Sep 19 2017
    
    Maria has continued to strengthen this afternoon, with surface and
    flight-level winds from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter
    aircraft supporting an intensity of 145 kt, and the central
    pressure inside the 5 n mi wide eye falling to 916 mb.  The
    aircraft data also indicates that an outer wind maximum is present
    about 20-30 n mi from the center, but this has not yet developed
    into enough of an outer eyewall to stop the intensification in the
    inner eyewall.
    
    The initial motion remains 300/9.  The forecast track philosophy
    remains the same, with the eye of Maria expected to move near the
    U. S. Virgin Islands tonight and across Puerto Rico on Wednesday,
    followed by a motion just north of the eastern Dominican Republic
    Wednesday night and Thursday.  Subsequently, a break in the
    subtropical ridge caused in part by Hurricane Jose should allow
    Maria to turn north-northwestward and northward by the end of the
    forecast period.  Only minor changes have occurred in the track
    guidance since the last advisory, and the new track has only minor
    adjustments from the previous track.
    
    Some additional strengthening is possible this evening before the
    outer eyewall becomes better defined or the cyclone reaches its
    maximum potential intensity. It now appears likely that Maria will
    be at category 5 intensity when it moves over the U. S. Virgin
    Islands and Puerto Rico, although there is a chance that the start
    of the eyewall replacement cycle might reduce the intensity a little
    bit.  The hurricane should weaken as it crosses Puerto Rico, and
    after that proximity to Hispaniola and less favorable upper-level
    winds are likely to lead to continued slow weakening.  The new
    intensity forecast remains at the upper edge of the intensity
    guidance.
    
    
    KEY MESSAGES:
    
    1. Maria's core is expected to move near or over St. Croix and
    Puerto Rico tonight and Wednesday, bringing life-threatening wind,
    storm surge, and rainfall impacts to portions of those islands.
    Everyone in these areas should follow advice from local officials to
    avoid life-threatening flooding from storm surge and rainfall.
    
    2. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
    and on high-rise buildings could be much stronger than the
    near-surface winds indicated in this advisory.
    
    3. A hurricane warning also in effect for the remainder of the
    Virgin Islands and the northern coast of the Dominican Republic,
    where Maria is expected to bring dangerous wind, storm surge, and
    heavy rainfall.
    
    4. A hurricane watch is in effect for the southeastern Bahamas and
    the Turks and Caicos, where Maria could bring hurricane conditions
    on Thursday.
    
    
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
    
    INIT  19/2100Z 16.8N  64.0W  145 KT 165 MPH
     12H  20/0600Z 17.5N  65.2W  145 KT 165 MPH
     24H  20/1800Z 18.4N  66.7W  130 KT 150 MPH...OVER PUERTO RICO
     36H  21/0600Z 19.3N  68.1W  125 KT 145 MPH...OVER WATER
     48H  21/1800Z 20.2N  69.4W  120 KT 140 MPH
     72H  22/1800Z 22.5N  71.0W  115 KT 130 MPH
     96H  23/1800Z 25.5N  72.0W  110 KT 125 MPH
    120H  24/1800Z 28.5N  72.5W   95 KT 110 MPH
    
    $$
    Forecaster Beven
    
    
  • Hurricane Maria Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15
    Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017
    
    000
    FONT15 KNHC 192043
    PWSAT5
    
    HURRICANE MARIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152017
    2100 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017
    
    AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
    16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
    145 KTS...165 MPH...270 KM/H.
    
    Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
       ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
       EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
       CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
    
    WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
    
    CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
       ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
       ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
       ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
    FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
    
    PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
        OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
            AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
       (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
            18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
    
    PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
    X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
    THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
    64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
    
    
      - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
    
                   FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
      TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
    PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
                 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
    
    FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
    LOCATION       KT
    
    ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
    
    CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
    
    CHERRY PT NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
    
    NEW RIVER NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
    
    MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
    
    SURF CITY NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
    
    BALD HEAD ISL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
    
    BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
    
    GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
    
    NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   4( 9)
    
    ANDROS         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)
    
    GREAT EXUMA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  10(15)   4(19)
    GREAT EXUMA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)
    GREAT EXUMA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
    
    SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  23(34)   5(39)
    SAN SALVADOR   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)   2(16)
    SAN SALVADOR   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)
    
    MAYAGUANA      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  39(45)  14(59)   2(61)
    MAYAGUANA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  18(18)  12(30)   X(30)
    MAYAGUANA      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   9(17)   X(17)
    
    GRAND TURK     34  X   X( X)   6( 6)  33(39)  45(84)   4(88)   X(88)
    GRAND TURK     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)  48(59)   6(65)   X(65)
    GRAND TURK     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  36(39)   3(42)   1(43)
    
    GUANTANAMO BAY 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)
    
    LES CAYES      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   5( 8)   X( 8)   1( 9)
    
    PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   8(15)   2(17)   X(17)
    
    CAPE BEATA     34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   4( 9)   5(14)   X(14)   1(15)
    
    PUERTO PLATA   34  X   3( 3)  17(20)  40(60)  16(76)   1(77)   X(77)
    PUERTO PLATA   50  X   X( X)   3( 3)  23(26)  18(44)   1(45)   X(45)
    PUERTO PLATA   64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)  12(21)   1(22)   X(22)
    
    SANTO DOMINGO  34  1   5( 6)  34(40)  19(59)   5(64)   1(65)   X(65)
    SANTO DOMINGO  50  X   1( 1)   9(10)  12(22)   3(25)   X(25)   X(25)
    SANTO DOMINGO  64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
    
    PONCE PR       34 62  38(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
    PONCE PR       50 12  84(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
    PONCE PR       64  1  72(73)   4(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
    
    AGUADILLA PR   34 10  88(98)   2(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
    AGUADILLA PR   50  2  87(89)   7(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
    AGUADILLA PR   64  X  51(51)  27(78)   1(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)
    
    SAN JUAN PR    34 82  18(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
    SAN JUAN PR    50 35  63(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
    SAN JUAN PR    64  2  75(77)   1(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
    
    VIEQUES PR     34 99   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
    VIEQUES PR     50 93   5(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
    VIEQUES PR     64 24  47(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)
    
    SAINT THOMAS   34 98   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
    SAINT THOMAS   50 81   7(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
    SAINT THOMAS   64 10   7(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
    
    SAINT CROIX    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
    SAINT CROIX    50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
    SAINT CROIX    64 76   1(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
    
    SAINT MAARTEN  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
    
    ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
    ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
    
    BARBUDA        34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
    
    ANTIGUA        34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
    
    GUADELOUPE     34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
    
    AVES           34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
    
    $$
    FORECASTER BEVEN
    
  • Hurricane Maria Update Statement
    Issued at 600 PM AST Tue Sep 19 2017
    
    000
    WTNT65 KNHC 192159
    TCUAT5
    
    Hurricane Maria Tropical Cyclone Update
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL152017
    600 PM AST Tue Sep 19 2017
    
    ...600 PM AST POSITION UPDATE...
    ...WEATHER CONDITIONS RAPIDLY DETERIORATING IN THE U.S. VIRGIN
    ISLANDS...
    
    A wind gust to 54 mph (87 km/h) was recently reported at St. Croix
    in the U.S. Virgin Islands.
    
    SUMMARY OF 600 PM AST...2200 UTC...INFORMATION
    ---------------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...16.8N 64.0W
    ABOUT  80 MI...130 KM SE OF ST. CROIX
    ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM SE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...165 MPH...270 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...913 MB...26.96 INCHES
    
    $$
    
    Forecaster Brown
    
    
  • Hurricane Maria Graphics

    Hurricane Maria 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image

    5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 19 Sep 2017 20:48:35 GMT


    Hurricane Maria 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities

    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 19 Sep 2017 21:29:59 GMT

Local Statement for Puerto Rico / V.I.
Issued at  511 PM AST Tue Sep 19 2017

Local Statement for Puerto Rico / V.I.
Issued at  0

 

Eastern Pacific


NHC Eastern North Pacific

Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific

 


Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook


000
ABPZ20 KNHC 191733
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Sep 19 2017

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Norma, located a few hundred miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.  The National
Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical
Cyclone Otis, located more than 1000 miles west of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula.

A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southeast
of Acapulco, Mexico, is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for
development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by
the weekend while it moves slowly west-northwestward near the coast
of Mexico.  Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, this system
could produce heavy rainfall along the southern coast of Mexico
during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Tropical Depression Tropical

  • Summary for Tropical Depression Norma (EP2/EP172017)
    ...NORMA EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT OR ON WEDNESDAY... As of 2:00 PM PDT Tue Sep 19 the center of Norma was located near 21.9, -115.0 with movement WNW at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Tropical Depression Norma

  • Tropical Depression Norma Public Advisory Number 22
    Issued at 200 PM PDT Tue Sep 19 2017 000 WTPZ32 KNHC 192033 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Norma Advisory Number 22 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172017 200 PM PDT Tue Sep 19 2017 ...NORMA EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT OR ON WEDNESDAY... SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...21.9N 115.0W ABOUT 335 MI...535 KM W OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Norma was located near latitude 21.9 North, longitude 115.0 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A west-northwest to northwest motion is expected during the next day or so. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast, and Norma is expected to degenerate into a remnant low tonight or on Wednesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 PM PDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi ]]>
  • Tropical Depression Norma Forecast Advisory Number 22
    Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017 000 WTPZ22 KNHC 192033 TCMEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172017 2100 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 115.0W AT 19/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 115.0W AT 19/2100Z AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 114.7W FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 22.3N 115.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 22.7N 116.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 23.2N 116.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 115.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI ]]>
  • Tropical Depression Norma Forecast Discussion Number 22
    Issued at 200 PM PDT Tue Sep 19 2017 000 WTPZ42 KNHC 192034 TCDEP2 Tropical Depression Norma Discussion Number 22 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172017 200 PM PDT Tue Sep 19 2017 Norma is on its way to becoming a remnant low. Satellite images indicate that only a very small amount of deep convection is left, and it is confined to the southeast of the center. The initial intensity is held at 30 kt, based on ASCAT data from a few hours ago. Cool waters and dry air should cause additional weakening, and Norma is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low tonight. The models agree that the remnant low should continue to spin down and ultimately dissipate in about 2 days. The depression is now moving west-northwestward at 6 kt. A slow west-northwest to northwest motion in the low-level flow is expected until the system dissipates. The NHC track forecast lies near the middle of the guidance envelope. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/2100Z 21.9N 115.0W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 20/0600Z 22.3N 115.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 20/1800Z 22.7N 116.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 21/0600Z 23.2N 116.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi ]]>
  • Tropical Depression Norma Wind Speed Probabilities Number 22
    Issued at 2100 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017 000 FOPZ12 KNHC 192034 PWSEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172017 2100 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI ]]>
  • Tropical Depression Norma Graphics
    Tropical Depression Norma 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
    5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 19 Sep 2017 20:38:54 GMT

    Tropical Depression Norma 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 19 Sep 2017 21:36:09 GMT ]]>

Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone Otis (EP5/EP152017)
...OTIS DEGENERATES TO A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY...
 As of 8:00 AM PDT Tue Sep 19
 the center of Otis was located near 19.0, -128.6
 with movement W at 6 mph.
 The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb
 with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Post-Tropical Cyclone Otis Public Advisory Number 32
Issued at 800 AM PDT Tue Sep 19 2017  

000
WTPZ35 KNHC 191432
TCPEP5

BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Otis Advisory Number  32
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP152017
800 AM PDT Tue Sep 19 2017

...OTIS DEGENERATES TO A REMNANT LOW...
...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.0N 128.6W
ABOUT 1235 MI...1985 KM W OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM PDT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Otis
was located near latitude 19.0 North, longitude 128.6 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west near 6 mph (9
km/h).  A west to west-southwest motion is expected during the next
day or so.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Weakening is forecast, and Otis is likely to dissipate within 36
hours.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Otis.  For additional information on the remnant
low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and
on the web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



Post-Tropical Cyclone Otis Forecast Advisory Number 32
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017  

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 191431
TCMEP5

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OTIS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152017
1500 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 128.6W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 128.6W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 128.2W

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.6N 129.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 17.7N 130.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 128.6W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON OTIS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW
PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI




Post-Tropical Cyclone Otis Forecast Discussion Number 32
Issued at 800 AM PDT Tue Sep 19 2017  

000
WTPZ45 KNHC 191433
TCDEP5

Post-Tropical Cyclone Otis Discussion Number  32
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP152017
800 AM PDT Tue Sep 19 2017

Otis has been devoid of deep convection for about 10 hours, and
the cyclone only consists of a compact swirl of low-level clouds.
Therefore, Otis is now classified as a remnant low, and this is
last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center.  ASCAT data
from last night indicated that maximum winds were near 35 kt.
Assuming some spin down since that time due to the loss of deep
convection, the initial wind speed is lowered to 30 kt.  Continued
weakening due to cool SSTs and dry air is expected, and Otis is
expected to dissipate in a day or so.

The remnant low has turned to the west in the low-level trade wind
flow.  A west to west-southwest motion is expected until the system
dissipates.

For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS
header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at
http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  19/1500Z 19.0N 128.6W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  20/0000Z 18.6N 129.1W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  20/1200Z 17.7N 130.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  21/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi



Post-Tropical Cyclone Otis Wind Speed Probabilities Number 32
Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017                                              

000
FOPZ15 KNHC 191432
PWSEP5
                                                                    
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OTIS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  32      
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152017               
1500 UTC TUE SEP 19 2017                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OTIS WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI                                               


Post-Tropical Cyclone Otis Graphics



5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 19 Sep 2017 14:44:40 GMT

 
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 19 Sep 2017 15:35:15 GMT




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