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NWS Gray, Maine Forecast Discussion


000
FXUS61 KGYX 060503
AFDGYX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1203 AM EST MON FEB 6 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR SOUTH WILL PRODUCE A WARMING WEST SOUTHWEST
FLOW THROUGH MONDAY. A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM CANADA ON
MONDAY WILL CROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY THEN MOVE OFF
THE COAST THURSDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
REGION LATE FRIDAY FOLLOWED BY MORE CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING IN OVER THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
WILL UPDATE TO INCREASE THE CHC OF -SHSN ACROSS THE N/MT ZONES PER
LATEST RADAR OVER AND UPSTREAM OF THE FCST AREA. ALSO INCREASED
SKY COVER A BIT ACROSS THE FCST AREA WHICH IN TURN WILL KEEP TEMPS
A LITTLE MILDER IN SOME SPOTS THAT WILL SEE LESS RADIATIONAL
COOLING DUE TO THE CLOUDS AND SOME WIND THAT IS SLOWLY PICKING UP
AS THE W SW PRES GRADIENT INCREASES. THE W SW FLOW SFC AND A W NW
FLOW ALOFT IS BRINGING IN WARMER AIR...FIRST ALOFT THAT IS
CREATING THE INCREASING CLOUDINESS AND ISOLD TO SCT -SHSN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
WSW GRADIENT AND WELL ALIGNED FLOW WITH AN INCREASINGLY DEEP
MIXING LAYER WILL ALLOW FOR GUSTY WINDS. WHAT LITTLE MOISTURE
THERE IS WILL RECEDE TO THE NORTH...AND WITH NEUTRAL ADVECTION OF
TEMPERATURE...MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES SHOULD RETURN TO MOST OF THE REGION.
AFTERNOON HIGHS MAY TOP OUT ABOVE 40 DEGREES OVER SOUTHERN AREAS.

A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS MAINE AND NEW HAMPSHIRE MONDAY
NIGHT FROM CENTRAL CANADA...LEADING TO SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS...ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUNTAINS. HOWEVER...ONCE AGAIN...THIS
FRONT IS RELATIVELY MOISTURE STARVED.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
GENERALLY A TRANQUIL WEATHER PATTERN EXPECTED. A FEW COLD FRONTS
WILL MOVES ACROSS THE AREA...ONE EXITS TO THE EAST BY EARLY
TUESDAY AND ANOTHER FRIDAY. THESE SYSTEMS WILL HAVE LIMITED
MOISTURE AND NOTHING MORE THAN A FEW SNOW SHOWERS EXPECTED WITH
EACH PASSAGE. OVERALL TEMPS WILL AVERAGE AT OR ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH
EARLY FRIDAY THEN MUCH COLDER AIR WILL ARRIVE FOR FRIDAY INTO
SUNDAY. OVERALL STAYED CLOSE TO GMOS BUT MIN TEMPS USED THE
ADJUSTED MEX TEMPS.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...MAINLY VFR...WITH LOCALLY
MVFR CIG AND PSBL MVFR VSBY IN -SHSN IN THE MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT
AND AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM...
MAINLY VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...WILL UPDATE TO INPUT
LATEST OBSERVED DATA RESULTING IN A FEW TWEAKS TO THE PREVIOUS
FCST. W SW GRADIENT WILL CONT TO BE ON THE INCREASE OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT WHICH WILL CONTINUE MONDAY. WILL CONT THE
SCA FOR ALL COASTAL WATERS ZONES THRU THE SHORT TERM TIME PERIOD.

LONG TERM...
WINDS/SEAS WILL BE MAINLY BELOW SCA CRITERIA...BEST CHANCE FOR
STRONGER WINDS WILL BEHIND BEHIND THE FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST MONDAY FOR ANZ150>154.

&&

$$

NWS GYX Office Area Forecast Discussion

Courtesy of the National Weather Service forecast office Gray, Maine




Fast Weather Facts and Folklore

Folklore -- Crickets are accurate thermometers; they chirp faster when warm and slower when cold. They are extremely accurate. Count their chirps faster for fourteen seconds, then add forty,and you have the temperature of wherever the cricket is.